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Quarterly reviews

 

April 2022

Two Black Swans

We are humbled by the magnitude of change in the world.  As if a war against a virus was not enough for the world to overcome, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine begins a new geopolitical threat of economic and military war. The images from Ukraine display horrific atrocities that seemed a remote probability in a developed, sovereign country. As investors, we are tasked with anticipating future outcomes…

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January 2022

Unchartered Waters

For over a year and half, the pandemic has changed our lives. From the way we work to the way we interact with each other, COVID has altered many of our day-to-day behaviors. The pandemic also changed the tools that governments and central banks use to respond to an economic crisis. As a new variant emerges, investors are now pondering the past actions taken to carry the global economy through the pandemic…

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October 2021

Rising Up

Despite the continued struggle to contain the Covid-19 virus, the U.S. economy has fared well relative to other countries coming out of the global pandemic.  During 2020, U.S. GDP declined 3.4% less than any other G7 nation.  Additionally, U.S. GDP growth for 2021 is expected to be 6%, which is higher than any other G7 nation except one…

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July 2021

Living and Investing During Rapid Change

It is hard to believe how much has changed in only one year.  The dream of revoultionary science methods creating new approaches to vaccinate against viruses, such as Covid-19, and the Federal Reserve’s “dream” of reaching their inflation taarget have both come true.  Fortunately, these dreams have been accomplished on the heels of the first pandemic in one hundred years.  The U.S. economy and the country have opened up out of the pandemic as a result of a multitude of factors…

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April 2021

“It was the best of times, it was the worst of times”
– Charles Dickens

The themes of Dickens’s great novel A Tale of Two Cities, are contrast and resurrection: and so too as we reflect on the end of the first quarter of the year, we contrast the starkness of the pandemic to the tremendous future opportunity embedded in the U.S. economy. For everything we’ve been through, we are still rather fortunate. The United States by all accounts is in the final stages…

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January 2021

Changing with the Distance 

This year has been greatly affected by COVID-19 as consumers and business owners have adjusted their behaviors and made accomodations to their lives during the pandemic.  To insulate the economy from the impact of the virus, central banks around the world…

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October 2020

Hope Springs Eternal 

The United States presidental election is foremost on the minds of investors.  It is likely that the pace of legislative change will provide enough time for corporations and individuals to absorb the changes.  Investors can take solace in the Constitution, which inherently provides checks and balances…

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July 2020

Searching for Visibility 

In the second quarter, we experienced one of the most dramatic stock market rebounds in history.  Since falling to its low on March 23rd, the S&P 500 index subsequently rebounded over 30%.  There were several factors which combined together provided the rationale for investor enthusiasm.  The Federal Reserve’s actions of lowering interest rates…

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April 2020

Investing During Turbulent Times

During the past 10 years, investors have placed a high priority in achieving above average performance on their investments. Performance, for most, was measured against the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. The S&P 500 Index experienced a significant increase…

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January 2020

Less Is More

The past 3 years have witnessed a resurgence in the US economy as well as a continued increase in the US Stock Market. The major theme of the advance has been fostered…

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October 2019

Investment Management is an Art not a Science

The US economy continues to grow with indications that the growth will persist into 2020 and possibly beyond.  The US economy has transitioned from one based on manufacturing to a service…

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July 2019

KISS: Keep It Simple Stupid

US government economists along with economists in academia and banking are projecting a slowdown in the growth of the US economy. The Federal Reserve is also concerned that the growth in the US economy will slow in the months ahead. As a result…

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